US Dollar Price Outlook: EUR/USD Breaks Downtrend

  • March 12, 2021 2:42 AM PST
    The US Dollar enjoyed a bout of strength to begin the year as EUR/USD
    endured a pullback toward support. While the brief reversal in price
    was hard to deny, it can be argued there were few changes in the
    underlying fundamental landscape to drive such a move. To be sure, a
    decline in risk appetite and damaged sentiment likely played a role as
    investors piled into the safety of the Greenback, but with sentiment
    repaired USD could face renewed pressure.To get more news about [url=https://www.wikifx.com/]WikiFX[/url], you can visit wikifx.com official website.



    Further still, the technical EUR/USD landscape looks encouraging.
    While recent weakness may have spooked some bulls, it might be viewed as
    mere consolidation before a continuation higher by others. To that end,
    the series of higher-highs and higher-lows dating back to March remains
    intact and EUR/USD trades above a plethora of longer-term moving
    averages.
      Much of the same can be seen on the daily chart. Trading
    narrowly beneath the 50-day moving average, golds recent breakout of
    the descending channel may allow it to take aim at overhead resistance.
    An imminent MACD crossover beneath the 0 line with price above the 200
    exponential moving average lends further bullish evidence.



    Initial areas of interest might reside at the January 2021 high near
    1.2349 followed by resistance slightly higher around 1.2400. Northward
    still resides a series of horizontal trendlines that may look to keep
    price contained so trimming exposure at – or before - these levels might
    be prudent.



    Conversely, the area slightly beneath 1.2000 might serve as an
    invalidation zone that if price were to breach before pushing higher,
    could undermine the shorter-term trade setup altogether. Another risk is
    continued consolidation around the 50-day simple moving average.  That
    said, EUR/USD appears tilted to the topside and IG client sentiment data
    reveals retail traders remain net-short the currency pair. Since we
    typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, retail positioning
    might suggest EUR/USD will climb higher in the days ahead. Follow
    @PeterHanksFX on Twitter for updates on this pair.