EUR/USD Mid-Session Technical Analysis

  • January 18, 2021 1:53 AM PST
    The Euro turned lower on Wednesday after stabilizing U.S. Treasury
    yields helped the dollar trade back in positive territory.To get more
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      Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell more than 6 basis points from a
    10-month high hit on Tuesday, briefly ending a three-day winning streak
    for the greenback. They last traded 2 basis points lower at 1.12%,
    helping the currency trade 0.1% higher against its peers.

      At 19:02 GMT, the EUR/USD is trading 1.2159, down 0.0048 or -0.39%.

      In economic news, Euro Zone industrial production was much higher than
    expected in November, data showed on Wednesday, thanks to a rebound in
    the output of intermediate and capital goods that bode well for
    investment later in 2021.

      In the U.S., according to the Department of Labor, in seasonally
    adjusted terms the U.S. consumer price index advanced at a
    month-on-month pace of 0.4%, which pushed the year-on-year rate of price
    increases to 1.4%.

      Daily EUR/USDDaily Swing Chart Technical Analysis

      The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart. The main
    trend will change to down on trade through 1.2025, while a move through
    1.2349 reaffirms the uptrend.

      The first minor range is 1.2349 to 1.2132. Its retracement zone at 1.2241 to 1.2266 is potential resistance.

      The second minor range is 1.2025 to 1.2349. The EUR/USD has straddled its 50% level at 1.2187 the last three sessions.

      The short-term range is 1.1800 to 1.2349. Its 50% level at 1.2074 is
    the last potential support before the main bottom at 1.2025.

    A sustained move under 1.2187 will indicate the selling pressure is
    getting stronger which could lead to an eventual test of 1.2074,
    followed by the main bottom at 1.2025. Not only will the trend change to
    down if this level is violated, but it could also trigger an
    acceleration to the downside.

      Bullish Scenario

      A sustained move over 1.2187 will signal the presence of buyers. This
    could lead to a quick test of a retracement zone at 1.2241 to 1.2266.
    Aggressive counter-trend sellers could come in on a test of this zone in
    an effort to form a potentially bearish secondary lower top.